Gold prices poised for biggest annual loss in nearly 32 years


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London: Gold fell one per cent in thin holiday trade Monday, heading for its biggest annual loss in more than three decades at nearly 30 per cent, as rising appetite for risk and the prospect of a global recovery stole its shine.

European stocks hovered around five-year highs after two weeks of strong gains, following from a six-year peak in Japanese shares.

"Investors would need to see prices above $1,300/1,350 to get back in, until then they will keep their interest in equities," MKS SA head of trading Afshin Nabavi said.

"For the time being, price moves will be exaggerated by the lack of liquidity ... but in the absence of any fresh macro news I don't think we are going to break below $1,190 or above $1,225."

Spot gold fell to a session low of $1,200.79 an ounce in earlier trade and was down 0.9 per cent to $1,202.50 by 1038 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for February delivery slipped $12.30 to $1,201.70 an ounce.

Gold's performance in 2013 has put an end to 12 straight years of growth, with prices hit by the US central bank's decision to rein in its monetary stimulus, which will raise the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

Expectations that the US economy will improve and the rest of the world's growth will stabilise in 2014, have further undermined the case for holding bullion, as investors look to put their money in riskier assets like equities.

In wider markets, the dollar ticked 0.1 per cent lower versus a basket of currencies, while the 10-year US notes yield stood at two-year highs above 3.0 per cent.

Fund holdings fall
Heavy outflows from gold-exchange traded funds also reflected investors' diminishing interest. Holdings on SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell three tonnes on Friday to their lowest since January 2009 at 801.2 tonnes.

The physical market saw a few deals among trading houses and jewellers, keeping premiums for gold bars steady at $2 an ounce to the spot London prices in Hong Kong, a centre for bullion trading in East Asia.

Premiums in Singapore were steady at $1.50 an ounce to the spot London prices, but there wasn't much activity.

China's net gold imports from Hong Kong fell 42 per cent to 76.393 tonnes in November from 131.19 tonnes in October, reflecting a drop in demand after strong purchases in previous months.

Silver fell 1.9 per cent to $19.65 an ounce yesterday. Silver is down 35 per cent this year in its worst annual performance since at least 1982.

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Inflation happens when the Fed makes it harder on banks to get money to lend to you - inflation wont really happen in terms of rates until the Fed loosens up on this which it wont anytime soon - but dont say inflation in terms of costs of goods hasnt happened - my grocery bill is up and Im a pretty consistent shopper of the basics (milk, oj, deli meats, bacon and eggs, rye bread, etc etc - its up.) Take a look at that 5lb bag of sugar if you dont believe me - its not 5lbs anymore - its 4lbs and the price is higher by a little than the 5lb used to be! Just bought some more vegetable oil last night to make eggplant parmigiana - the 64 oz container is now 56oz!!! Same price!!

The Fed wont let rates rise because we are still desperate for car sales at low rates, housing sales at low rates and for businesses to re-invest in their businesses -none of these are happening at a healthy rate - to deny that is being a pawn! http://www.stockmaster.in/gold.html




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